Recanatese vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
REC
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
REC
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
JES
66%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |