Recanatese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
REC
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
REC
2 - 0
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
REC
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
OLY
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
FER
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |