Recanatese vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
REC
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
SAN
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
JES
0 - 0
REC
66%
21%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 4
VIS
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
REC
60%
21%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 3
CAS
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAB
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 0
OLY
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 3
FAB
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |