Recanatese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 0
REC
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
JES
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
REC
3 - 2
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
REC
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |