Recanatese vs ASD Atletico Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+299%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
16º
3º
4
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
6 | 67 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 51 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 1
REC
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SSS
1 - 0
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REC
2 - 3
FER
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 3
REC
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
REC
1 - 0
VIS
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Atletico Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
FER
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 2
ASD
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 0
SSS
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 2
RIC
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASD
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |