Rebordosa vs Guarda Desportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
3º
10
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
REB
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
REB
2 - 2
SAL
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
REB
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |