Rebordosa vs Alpendorada analysis

Rebordosa Alpendorada
39 ELO 31
-11.4% Tilt -15.6%
5823º General ELO ranking 8195º
92º Country ELO ranking 179º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Rebordosa
19.8%
Draw
19.5%
Alpendorada

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
Rebordosa
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.6%
Win probability
Alpendorada
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rebordosa
-17%
+32%
Alpendorada

Points and table prediction

Rebordosa
Their league position
Alpendorada
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
29
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rebordosa
Alpendorada
Promotion play-offs
18.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
81.5% 33%
Mid-table
0% 67%

ELO progression

Rebordosa
Alpendorada
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rebordosa
Rebordosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 1
Rebordosa
REB
60%
23%
17%
38 45 7 0
05 Mar. 2023
REB
Rebordosa
2 - 0
Camacha
CAM
52%
23%
25%
37 34 3 +1
26 Feb. 2023
MAC
Machico
2 - 2
Rebordosa
REB
17%
21%
63%
38 22 16 -1
19 Feb. 2023
REB
Rebordosa
1 - 1
Leça FC
LEC
32%
27%
41%
37 42 5 +1
12 Feb. 2023
CAS
Castro Daire
2 - 2
Rebordosa
REB
34%
25%
42%
38 34 4 -1

Matches

Alpendorada
Alpendorada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
ALP
Alpendorada
2 - 0
Resende
RES
62%
19%
19%
31 25 6 0
05 Mar. 2023
ALP
Alpendorada
1 - 3
Valadares Gaia
VAL
22%
24%
54%
32 44 12 -1
26 Feb. 2023
CAM
Camacha
0 - 1
Alpendorada
ALP
53%
22%
26%
32 35 3 0
19 Feb. 2023
ALP
Alpendorada
2 - 2
Machico
MAC
71%
16%
13%
32 22 10 0
12 Feb. 2023
LEC
Leça FC
0 - 1
Alpendorada
ALP
65%
21%
14%
31 43 12 +1
X