Reboceros de la Piedad vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 0
REB
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
REB
0 - 1
JAG
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
2 - 1
REB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
REB
1 - 4
SNL
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REB
5 - 0
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
4 - 0
SNL
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
IRA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |