Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Realejos vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
REA
2 - 1
UDO
57%
24%
18%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
ATL
2 - 1
REA
27%
28%
45%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
REA
1 - 1
DHE
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
GAL
0 - 3
REA
33%
28%
39%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
REA
2 - 1
RAF
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
UBC
3 - 0
PED
78%
16%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
TOR
0 - 4
UBC
32%
30%
39%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
UBC
2 - 0
PUE
81%
14%
5%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
GIM
0 - 0
UBC
54%
25%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
UBC
1 - 1
MAN
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |