Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-1
Realejos vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
64.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
UDS
1 - 0
REA
58%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
REA
4 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 0
REA
84%
12%
4%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
CDM
1 - 1
REA
70%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
REA
2 - 0
ARG
83%
13%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 0
REC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CPC
1 - 1
MAL
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 0
REA
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 0
BET
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
REC
2 - 2
MAL
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |