Real Zaragoza vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
31%
35%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
UPL
0 - 1
ZAR
29%
32%
39%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ZAR
0 - 0
UES
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
ZAR
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
VIL
3 - 0
PON
41%
29%
29%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
74%
19%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
VIL
0 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ELC
2 - 0
VIL
73%
20%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VIL
0 - 0
OVI
41%
31%
28%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |