Real Zaragoza vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 2
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
6 - 1
ZAR
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 0
CON
47%
22%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
OSA
2 - 1
VAD
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 1
BET
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
JFC
3 - 0
VAD
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ARE
0 - 0
VAD
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |