Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-6
Real Zaragoza vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 2
ZAR
29%
27%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 1
OSA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 2
ZAR
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
NUM
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
OVI
2 - 2
ZAR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VCF
4 - 0
SEV
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BET
3 - 6
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VCF
3 - 2
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RSO
2 - 3
VCF
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
VCF
5 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |