Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Real Zaragoza vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BET
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 4
ATH
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 1
SAB
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 1
VCF
50%
20%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |