Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Real Zaragoza vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
LLE
1 - 1
ZAR
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
ARE
2 - 2
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LOG
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
OSA
2 - 0
ZAR
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ZAR
7 - 1
SDI
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
LLE
1 - 1
ZAR
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LLE
1 - 0
CON
57%
19%
24%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
CDC
1 - 5
LLE
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LLE
1 - 2
TOR
87%
8%
5%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECG
1 - 1
LLE
56%
19%
25%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |