Real Zaragoza vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 2
EIB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDE
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
ZAR
7%
15%
79%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
ZAR
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 0
ELC
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
UCA
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
UCA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 3
BRI
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 0
REU
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |