Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1976 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAR
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
SLA
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CDT
1 - 1
FCB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1976 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAR
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
OSA
1 - 0
CDT
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
CDT
0 - 1
CEL
56%
25%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |