Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-2
Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
DEP
3 - 3
ZAR
44%
23%
34%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
DEP
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BET
1 - 1
ZAR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
VAD
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
93%
5%
2%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
ELC
1 - 0
CDT
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
CDT
3 - 0
ELC
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
EXT
0 - 0
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CDT
5 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |