Real Zaragoza vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.8%
5.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LLE
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
SDE
1 - 4
ZAR
36%
23%
42%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ZAR
6 - 2
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
GIR
2 - 2
ZAR
59%
19%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ZAR
5 - 4
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 3
SGL
66%
17%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
SGL
0 - 1
LLE
43%
23%
35%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPO
3 - 1
SGL
81%
11%
8%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 1
SDE
58%
20%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
SGL
79%
12%
9%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |