Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Real Zaragoza vs Skeid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 1
SEV
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
UDL
2 - 3
ZAR
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 4
FCB
73%
16%
12%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
GRA
6 - 2
ZAR
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FFK
4 - 1
SKE
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
SKE
1 - 1
STE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SKE
4 - 2
HOD
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1966 |
SKE
3 - 2
ZAR
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SAR
2 - 2
SKE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |