Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Real Zaragoza vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MLL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
SHR
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
SHR
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
24%
45%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
SHR
0 - 2
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
RAP
3 - 0
SHR
75%
15%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 2
SHR
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SHR
0 - 1
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |