Real Zaragoza vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 0
GIR
73%
15%
13%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 2
ZAR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ZAR
6 - 3
RCF
59%
19%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
ZAR
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SDE
4 - 1
LLE
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SDE
3 - 2
SGL
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
4 - 1
SDE
90%
7%
4%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 1
GIR
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
3 - 1
SDE
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |