Real Zaragoza vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
VCF
0 - 1
ZAR
87%
9%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 3
CON
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
5 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 1
BET
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 4
FCB
25%
21%
54%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 2
SDC
88%
8%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |