Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-0
Real Zaragoza vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 2
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ELC
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
FCB
4 - 2
ZAR
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
UDL
2 - 0
ZAR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
ZAR
0 - 0
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
SLA
2 - 1
VAD
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
SPO
3 - 1
SLA
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
BET
20%
27%
53%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UES
0 - 0
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 2
ONT
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |