Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Real Zaragoza vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
BET
0 - 1
ZAR
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1986 |
RMC
2 - 1
ZAR
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RSO
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
BUR
1 - 2
ZAR
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 2
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MLL
1 - 0
RMC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1986 |
RMC
2 - 1
ZAR
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
RMC
3 - 2
SSC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ATB
2 - 0
RMC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |