Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 9-3
Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
MLL
0 - 2
ZAR
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 0
ZAR
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAR
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
OVI
4 - 2
ONT
78%
14%
9%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ONT
1 - 1
OVI
28%
25%
46%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
89%
7%
4%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OVI
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |