Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ZAR
3 - 0
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LEV
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ZAR
5 - 1
MLL
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
BET
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 0
ATH
45%
23%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
30%
23%
47%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |