Real Zaragoza vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ZAR
0 - 3
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VCF
45%
21%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
7 - 0
OVI
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
OVI
0 - 2
ATH
49%
21%
31%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 0
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
86%
8%
5%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |