Real Zaragoza vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ELC
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 2
ZAR
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 2
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
RSO
1 - 0
ZAR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LEV
2 - 1
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RSO
2 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
LEV
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
MUR
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |