Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 9-1
Real Zaragoza vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
ZAR
8 - 0
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
PON
1 - 2
ZAR
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
ZAR
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SLA
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 2
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1970 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAS
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1970 |
ORI
1 - 2
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
MUR
3 - 0
ORI
82%
13%
6%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
CDO
2 - 0
MUR
32%
31%
37%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |