Real Zaragoza vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ARE
2 - 1
ZAR
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
ZAR
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
BET
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
7 - 1
JFC
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 1
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 3
MUR
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 4
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
JFC
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |