Real Zaragoza vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ZAR
5 - 3
ALA
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
GIR
3 - 2
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
LEV
1 - 3
ZAR
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SAB
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
CAD
4 - 1
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 3
BET
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ELC
3 - 4
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 0
JFC
81%
12%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |