Real Zaragoza vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CEL
61%
19%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
JFC
4 - 0
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
USC
0 - 0
ZAR
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
GIR
0 - 2
ZAR
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1936 |
CEL
7 - 0
ZAR
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIR
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
CEL
2 - 0
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
1 - 1
CEL
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
ARE
1 - 0
MUR
54%
20%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
MUR
5 - 2
JFC
66%
18%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |