Real Zaragoza vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MAL
91%
7%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SEV
1 - 1
ZAR
27%
26%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ZAR
6 - 1
ELC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
UDL
2 - 1
ZAR
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
44%
24%
31%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
CCF
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 0
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
RMA
5 - 0
FEY
83%
11%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |