Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Real Zaragoza vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 0
ZAR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1963 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
2 - 0
BET
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 2
BET
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
BET
1 - 0
RMA
21%
21%
57%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 1
LEV
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
LEV
1 - 4
RMA
15%
20%
65%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |