Real Zaragoza vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RJA
3 - 0
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
VCF
3 - 1
ZAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ZAR
3 - 3
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
84%
11%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
25%
22%
53%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1957 |
RMA
6 - 0
ANT
82%
11%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |