Real Zaragoza vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ELC
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 2
ZAR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MAL
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
CAD
1 - 1
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
UDL
0 - 6
RAY
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
RAY
1 - 0
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
SLA
1 - 0
RAY
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
RAY
0 - 0
FIG
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |