Real Zaragoza vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1972 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
34%
31%
35%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ZAR
3 - 1
CUL
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
CAD
2 - 1
ZAR
30%
32%
38%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ZAR
3 - 1
VAD
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
LOG
1 - 2
ZAR
36%
31%
33%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1972 |
RAY
1 - 3
PON
55%
27%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAY
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
RAY
2 - 0
RAC
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ELC
3 - 0
RAY
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
RAY
0 - 2
OVI
55%
27%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |