Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Real Zaragoza vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SAB
3 - 3
ZAR
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SLA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
BET
1 - 0
ZAR
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ZAR
2 - 1
SPO
63%
18%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 0
OSA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
FER
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
6 - 2
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |