Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-1
Real Zaragoza vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
65%
18%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
FCB
7 - 1
OSA
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1936 |
OSA
4 - 2
FCB
51%
20%
29%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
OSA
3 - 1
BET
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
BET
0 - 0
OSA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |