Segunda Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Real Zaragoza vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FCB
0 - 2
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ZAR
3 - 2
VAD
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALB
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 0
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NUM
2 - 1
CUL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 1
NUM
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 1
OSA
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 1
NUM
19%
27%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |