Real Zaragoza vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 2
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LEV
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HUE
2 - 3
ZAR
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 3
CAD
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
REU
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 3
NUM
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 0
GET
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |