Real Zaragoza vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 3
OSA
70%
16%
14%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SAB
5 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BAD
70%
15%
15%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ORE
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
22%
38%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
0 - 1
LLE
61%
18%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 3
BAR
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
GIR
3 - 0
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
NUM
4 - 1
ARO
67%
16%
16%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |