Real Zaragoza vs CD Nacional de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 0
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
68%
16%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
DEP
0 - 0
ZAR
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
ZAR
6 - 0
AVI
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1935 |
OSA
4 - 1
ZAR
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
NAM
0 - 1
VAD
48%
21%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
USC
3 - 4
NAM
58%
19%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAM
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
NAM
5 - 1
CEL
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAM
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |