Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-1
Real Zaragoza vs Manlleu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
VCF
0 - 1
ZAR
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
ZAR
2 - 0
OSA
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
MAN
0 - 1
ZAR
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
ATM
2 - 1
ZAR
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
ZAR
3 - 2
OVI
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manlleu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
LEM
1 - 0
MAN
27%
30%
43%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
MAN
1 - 2
UES
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
MAN
0 - 1
ZAR
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
ZAR
3 - 3
MAN
46%
27%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MAN
0 - 1
RSO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |