Real Zaragoza vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 0
ZAR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VAD
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
OVI
2 - 1
ZAR
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
WIS
4 - 1
ZAR
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ALA
70%
18%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MAL
2 - 1
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
UDL
2 - 1
MAL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MAL
1 - 3
NUM
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
MLL
0 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
MAL
3 - 3
RMA
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |