Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Real Zaragoza vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
OVI
3 - 3
ZAR
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ZAR
6 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
6%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
KVM
0 - 2
LIE
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAR
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
DCM
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |