Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Real Zaragoza vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
OSA
1 - 0
ZAR
37%
29%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
BET
0 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
MLL
2 - 0
ZAR
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
VEL
4 - 3
LSO
42%
24%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
VEL
84%
10%
7%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
B19
87%
9%
5%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
B19
1 - 0
LSO
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ETA
1 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |