Real Zaragoza vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 2
VCF
32%
22%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SEV
31%
22%
48%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 2
JFC
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SPO
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
JFC
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |