Real Zaragoza vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 1
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
6 - 3
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 0
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 0
JFC
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 0
ARE
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 0
JFC
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |